With the 28 global risks that were assessed in 2015 grouped into five categories – economic, environmental, geopolitical, societal and technological – 2015 stands out as a year when geopolitical risks, having been largely absent from the landscape of leading risks for the past half-decade, returns to the fore. With geopolitics increasingly influencing the global economy, these risks account for three of the five most likely, and two of the most potentially impactful, risks in 2015. Also in this category, three risks stand out as having intensified the most since 2014 in terms of likelihood and impact. These are interstate conflict with regional consequences, weapons of mass destruction and terrorist attacks. Read more
The World Economic Forum and the Wharton Risk Center at the University of Pennsylvania have published the 10th edition of their Global Risks Report. In the forecast for 2015, researchers found interstate conflict with regional consequences to be the number one global risk in terms of likelihood.