09 October 2024 | Deep Dive, Threat Landscape
Tags: Executive Summary It is almost certain that Extreme Right-Wing terrorism will remain a significant terrorism threat in the UK in the long term. It is highly likely that the Extreme Right-Wing terrorism threat has evolved away from structured groups to a more disparate online threat. It is highly likely that any Extreme Right-Wing terrorist attack conducted in the UK would be conducted by an individual. Between 1999 and 2022, all but two of the 14 attacks related to an Extreme Right-Wing ideology were conducted by individuals. It is almost certain that...
20 May 2024 | Deep Dive, Threat Landscape
Tags: Executive Summary Artificial intelligence (AI) will continue to have wide ranging, transformational, and often beneficial, impacts on society. However, like all technology, AI also carries the potential for misuse by nefarious actors including Terrorists and Violent Extremists (TVEs). Though this technology continues to develop at a rapid pace, understanding how existing AI models work can help assess how and where they are likely to be beneficial to TVEs. AI presents various tools TVEs might employ to streamline, support, and speed up propaganda...
13 November 2023 | Deep Dive, Tactics & Methodologies
Author: Oliver Hair ASyI, Threat Analyst Read Time: 15 minutes “Our borders are not as secure as they should be and much greater efforts should be made to prevent the illegal transportation of weapons and people into the country. It would be naive in the extreme to assume that would-be terrorists will not attempt to exploit any such weaknesses.” – Lord Toby Harris, 2016.[1] In September 2023, The Telegraph reported that the New IRA had allegedly acquired “two hand grenades, a handgun, more than 50 rounds of ammunition and more than a kilogram of plastic...
04 October 2023 | Deep Dive, Islamist Terrorism, Right Wing Terrorism
Author: Becca Stewart ASyI, Threat Analyst Read Time: 10 minutes Since 2010, in-person radicalisation has been linked to the majority of significant terrorism-related incidents in the UK. At the same time, rates of online radicalisation have been increasing rapidly resulting in growing numbers of convictions for online terrorism offences. Following the December 2022 publication of a report by His Majesty’s Prisons and Probation Service (HMPPS) exploring “the internet and radicalisation pathways” of convicted terrorists in the UK [1], this...
02 August 2023 | Deep Dive, Islamist Terrorism
Author: Oliver Hair ASyI, Junior Threat Analyst Read Time: 10 minutes The former leader of al-Qa’ida, Ayman al-Zawahiri, was reportedly killed in a drone strike in Afghanistan on 31 July 2022. al-Qa’ida has not yet confirmed the death of al-Zawahiri or announced a new leader. As of 27 March 2023, a United Nations (UN) report has stated that an individual known as Saif-al-Adel is now considered the de facto Emir (leader) of al-Qa’ida by member states.[1] As of 15 March 2023, the US State Department has agreed that al-Adel is now the de facto Emir.[2] This...
09 March 2020 | Deep Dive, Tactics & Methodologies, Threat Landscape
Key findings Bladed weapon attacks have become the favoured methodology of terrorists in Europe because they are quick, cheap to execute and hard to prevent; Furthermore, such attacks fulfil the limited objectives of the most prolific ter... Log in or sign up for FREE access to our Solutions Centre to gain unlimited access to all our premium content, tools, products, and services in one easy to reach platform. Subscribe...